CA Open Primary Bodes Change in Balance of Power–Allan Hoffenblum’s analysis on probable and likely winners and losers

Tuesday Oct 9, 2012, at 10 AM PT, Martha Montelongo, with John Seiler, managing editor at, and Ben Boychuk, Associate Editor with City Journal welcome Allan Hoffenblum, Publisher of the California Target Book, owner of Allan Hoffenblum & Associates and contributor to Fox & Hounds Daily.

Due to redistricting and the new top two Open Primary, there will be more competitive races for congress and the state legislature this November than we have seen in this state in over a decade. L.A. Times reports “Recent developments put the party within reach of gaining the two seats it needs for a two-thirds majority in the Legislature’s upper house.”

Allan Hoffenblum,  publisher of the California Target Book, wrote a four-part series for Fox & Hounds Daily, describing where those competitive races will be.   We’ll talk Hoffenblum about what these developments mean for the people and the politics of CA.

We’ll ask him what he thinks about the propositions on the ballot too.  CalWatchDog has a lot of coverage on the initiatives, with two propositions, Prop 30 and Prop 32 testing the political grip the special interests and public employee unions have on CA’s voters and their support.

Target Races: 

Part One: State Assembly

• Part Two: State Senate 

• Part Three: Congress 

Part Four: Same Party Runoff

Related Links:
A Democratic supermajority for California’s Senate?
Recent developments put the party within reach of gaining the two seats it needs for a two-thirds majority in the Legislature’s upper house.
October 06, 2012|By Patrick McGreevy, Los Angeles Times

Democrats May Get Two-thirds Majority in California Senate
October 8th, 2012 | by Michael Burg |

Crazifornia: Moneyball time in Sacramento
Oct. 8, 2012 | By Laer Pearce |

“…Should Prop 30 fail in November, Brown will have a chance to start playing Moneyball. Here are some ideas for the manager of the major league Sacramento Spenders…”

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  1. Why is your show going away?

    Have the Democrats forced you off the air?

    Also, don’t know if you knew it but CRN would play commercials right over your show so the listeners would miss parts of it.

    • Martha Montelongo says:

      Hi Bob. Thank you for your post. Nobody forced us off the air.
      I’m so sorry to read that CRN would play commercials right over the show. That’s disappointing. I’m going to post our show up on our podcast page in less than an hour. All of our shows are up on our podcast page if you missed any of them and would like to peruse.

      Sign up for the feed and the newsletter so I can let you know what we do next. Hope you’ve enjoyed the show. It’s been a great pleasure to produce and host.


      • One option would be to not do any live broadcasting but keep doing a show that’s podcast only.

        Seems you could have more control over things like scheduling that way.

  2. Hey Martha, I have a question for you.

    What will you do when the DemoNcrats get a two-thirds majority in the legislature and therefore pass as many tax increases and all the other awful legislation that they want?

    (If it doesn’t happen this election it will probably happen the next. Face it, it’s going to happen eventually.)

    Will you move to another state, try to get the state split or keep doing what you are doing now?

    • Martha Montelongo says:

      It depends on my partner. We’ll keep doing what we do, and cutting back as we have, and doing more for ourselves to save money. As long as we can afford to be here, we will do so. It’s a beautiful place worth standing for. Public awareness and opinion are critical as are powerful grassroots coalitions around unwavering principles.